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现代产业经济学系列讲座第158期

2018/11/02 13:30  -  2018/11/02 15:00

史带楼602室

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现代产业经济学系列讲座第158期

时间:2018年11月2日 13:30-15:00

地点:史带楼602室

主题:The Hot Hand Fallacy Fallacy

主讲人:Joshua Miller (University of Alicante)

主持人:李玲芳 副教授

摘要:The hot hand fallacy has long been considered a massive and widespread cognitive illusion with important implications for decision making. We uncover a subtle, but critical, statistical bias that invalidates previous evidence supporting the hot hand fallacyin its canonical domain, basketball shooting. We re-assess and re-analyze basketball shooting and betting data. We find that the hot hand exists, and that players can bet on it successfully.

主讲人简介:

Joshua Miller is an economist at the University of Alicante (Spain). He received his PhD in Economics from the University of Minnesota. He works primarily in the areas of behavioral and experimental economics. His current research interests focus on information processing, judgment under uncertainty, and belief aggregation.

产业经济学系

2018-10-18


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